Bitcoin Scalping Guide: How to Ride the Trend Safely (200 EMA + MACD)

Hi everyone, this is Tapu.

 

Many beginners lose money trying to catch "falling knives" (buying when prices are crashing).

While betting against the market can be profitable, it is also risky.

The easiest way to make money in crypto is to follow the old saying: "The Trend is Your Friend."

 

Today, I will show you a high-probability Trend Following Strategy.

We will use the same indicators as before, but with a completely different approach to catch the big waves.

 

Recommended Platform For this strategy, you need an exchange with fast execution and low fees.

I personally use Bybit.

👉 Click here to claim your 20% Fee Discount on Bybit

Welcome to Bybit | Register, Trade & Earn High Rewards | Bybit

 

The Chart Configuration

 

We keep it simple. Complexity does not equal profit.

• Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart (30m)
• Key Indicators:
  1. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): To identify the major trend direction.
  2. MACD (Histogram): To pinpoint the exact entry timing.

 

Riding the Bull (Long)

 

 

How do we know when to buy? We look for a temporary dip in a strong uptrend.

Buying Rules:

1. Trend Check: The price candles must be trading ABOVE the 200 EMA line.
2. Trigger: Wait for the MACD Histogram to drop below zero (Red), and then turn back to Green (+).

 

 

Execution:

• Enter: Buy immediately when the histogram flips to positive.
• Stop Loss: Place it just below the previous swing low.
• Target: We aim for a 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio.

Crucial Rule: The "Breakeven" Filter

This is the secret sauce of this strategy. Pay attention.

Sometimes, the market gives a fake signal. The histogram turns green, we buy, but then it turns red again quickly. Do we panic sell? NO.

The Golden Rule:

"Do not close the trade manually until the price hits at least 1:1 Risk-Reward."

 

 

In the example above, the MACD flipped negative shortly after entry.

However, because we followed the "Breakeven Filter," we stayed in the trade.

Eventually, the price surged, and we hit our Take Profit target.

This rule helps you survive the "market noise."

 

 

Riding the Bear (Short)

 

 

Making money when the price falls is just as easy.

 

Selling Rules:

1. Trend Check: The price candles must be trading BELOW the 200 EMA line.
2. Trigger: Wait for the MACD Histogram to go above zero (Green), and then flip down to Red (-).
3. Stop Loss: Place it above the recent swing high.

 

 

Just like the long setup, use the Breakeven Filter to hold your position through small fluctuations.

 

When to AVOID Trading

Not every signal is worth taking. You must look at the Risk-Reward (R:R) potential.

If the signal candle is a massive bar (like a huge crash), your Stop Loss will be too far away.

This means your risk is high, and your potential reward is low.

 

My Advice: If the setup looks ugly or the Stop Loss is too wide, simply WAIT.

The market will always give you another chance.

 

 

Handling Choppy Markets
What if the market moves sideways?

 

Trend strategies usually struggle in flat markets.

However, our "Breakeven Filter" protects us here too.

 

 

If the price doesn't hit our 1:1 target and reverses, we usually exit at breakeven or a very small loss.

Once you identify a sideways market, stop using this strategy and switch to a Mean Reversion Strategy

(buying low, selling high in a box).

Eventually, a decline occurred, but it did not touch the R:R 1 line.

Then a rebound occurred, and the histogram changed to +, so it was closed at Breakeven.

This is a not-bad result even though it is a sideways market.

Aftermath Analysis: After the rebound, the histogram is +, and the candle is above the 200 EMA.

It is a spot where you can try buying, but the volatility is so large that the R:R does not come out.

Do you remember that I said we should pass such sections?

Just by remembering this flow well, you can filter out many parts of the sideways market.

Rather, since the volatility is too large in such sections, you can expect much better results by approaching with the Mean Reversion (Reverse Trend) trading method we learned previously.

 

Final Thoughts & Bonus Material

Trading is 10% strategy and 90% risk management.

To help you master this, I have compiled a comprehensive guide in a PDF format.

 

🎁 Exclusive Gift: "Risk Management Masterclass PDF"

I am giving this PDF away for free to my partners.

 

How to claim your copy:

1. Register: Sign up using one of the links below to get the fee discount.
   • 👉 Join Bybit (Recommended)
   • 👉 Join Bitget
   • 👉 Join OKX
2. Verify: Complete KYC and make your first deposit.
3. Request: Submit your UID in the form below.

👉 Click here to fill out the Request Form

I will verify your UID and email the PDF directly to your inbox within 24 hours. Let's make some profits together!